Who is Providing America the Intelligence Needed to Target ISIS…in Afghanistan?

on July 20 | in Intelligence Analysis, Terrorism

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It’s been a rough 2015 for ISIS—no, not in Iraq and Syria, nor in Libya, but in faraway Afghanistan, where the terror group is trying to establish a foothold. In the last month:

  • Shahidullah Shahid, a former Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) spokesman-turned ISIS supporter was killed via drone strike, according to Afghanistan’s National Directorate of Security (NDS);
  • Former Taliban leader Hafiz Saeed was killed in a strike on their compound in Nangarhar Province, according to NDS.
  • In early February, Mullah Abdul Rauf, a Guantanamo Bay detainee-turned-Taliban commander-turned-ISIS commander was killed, His successor, Hafiz Waheed, died a month later. Both were killed from the sky, according to the NDS.

Funny how, when these top men were Taliban or TTP supporters, both Pakistan and Afghanistan couldn’t find them. Now, Afghanistan’s intelligence service now seems to be racking up some significant wins — with American support, of course.

There’s a niggling question though: Where did this pinpoint intelligence come from? Enter my wild speculation: it’s coming, more or less, from Taliban sources. In other words, America might already be using Taliban-derived intelligence to target ISIS.

We’ve long known Pakistan is working very closely with the Taliban, providing sanctuary to the group in Quetta. We also know the government of Afghanistan is talking with the Taliban, despite being at war with them (and having its intelligence service’s HQ attacked earlier this year.)

But who else would know more about Taliban-turncoats operating in its area of operations than…the Taliban itself? After all, it wouldn’t be hard to imagine that Taliban operatives are providing actionable information to Afghan government officials on ISIS.

Why? Because the Taliban and regional nations (even Iran) all profit from smiting ISIS in south Asia. The U.S. doesn’t like ISIS for obvious reasons. Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iran do not want another suicide bomb-happy, transnational terror group near or operating within its borders.

More importantly, the Taliban doesn’t want other political competitors jockeying for power in their turf. The groups has criticized ISIS publicly as well as attacked them directly. Even al Qaeda has an intense dislike for ISIS. Thus, it creates a situation where mortal enemies *might* be willing to work together to squeeze the violent psychopaths at their doorstep. It’s a win-win-win for everyone.

Again, this is speculation. But if the U.S. is willing, albeit indirectly, with other adversaries with American blood on their hands in Iraq, why wouldn’t we exploit intelligence from some terribly unsavory characters in Afghanistan to strike even nastier characters? Remember, the Taliban has no particular desire to export its particular brand of government to the West, which might make them slightly more tolerable than the new killers on the block.

Stay tuned

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photo: screenshot of Shahidullah Shahid, left, enjoying a song with another TTP militant.

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